Online Appendix to “Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions”

نویسندگان

  • Marek Jarociński
  • Bartosz Maćkowiak
چکیده

In the paper we use the set of models Ω defined in Definition 3 in Section 4. In Section 5.4 we also report findings conditional on the set of models Ω̃. In this online appendix we give the details of the exercise conditional on Ω̃. The motivation for this exercise is the following. The set of models Ω̃ is larger than the set of models Ω. In particular, Ω includes models with one Granger-noncausality relation, while Ω̃ includes models with multiple Granger-noncausality relations imposed simultaneously. We are curious whether “allowing for more zero restrictions” than in the set Ω leads to much better fit and a very different choice of variables.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions∗

A researcher is interested in a set of variables that he wants to model with a vector autoregression and he has a dataset with more variables. Which variables from the dataset to include in the VAR, in addition to the variables of interest? This question arises in many applications of VARs, in prediction and impulse response analysis. We develop a Bayesian methodology to answer this question. W...

متن کامل

Causal Nexus between Inflation and Economic Growth of Japan

This study aims to evaluate the link between economic growth and consumer price index (CPI) in Japan for the period of 1980-2014. Initial series were adjusted for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey- Fuller (ADF) test for unit root followed by the application of Johansen Co-integration Test in order to examine the long-run relationship among the variables, while the causalities were evaluat...

متن کامل

Investigating Cointegration and the Causal Relationship Between of Exchange Rate, Oil Price and Gas Price in Regional Markets

Short-term and long-term relationship between exchange rate, oil price and spot gas price of three regional gas markets was investigated using and estimating the Vector Autoregressive model. There is a significant and long-term relationship between variables.Short-term interactions of variables with Granger causality test One-year interaction of variables with intervals of one to twelve months ...

متن کامل

Searching for the Causal Structure

of Searching for the Causal Structure of a Vector Autoregression Vector autoregressions (VARs) are economically interpretable only when identified by being transformed into a structural form (the SVAR) in which the contemporaneous variables stand in a well-defined causal order. These identifying transformations are not unique. It is widely believed that practitioners must choose among them usin...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013